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Red35
383511.4
194312.4
673825.6
Blue48
565421.1
263050.5
592811.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64930501502002503548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+2
Endgame+16
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave9
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points11
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +6
4Coral scored#3
14Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
20Total teleop14
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
3Foul points0
35Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6738
#12
25.63.1
27.924.7
Auto5.5
Teleop19.2
End0.9
blue by 24.8
50.53.9
39.735.8
Auto15.6
Teleop27.6
End7.3
Second
1943
#24
12.43.1
13.710.5
Auto1.8
Teleop10.8
End-0.1
blue by 8.7
5654
#18
21.13.9
28.524.6
Auto3.2
Teleop15.2
End2.8
Third
3835
#23
11.43.1
18.815.7
Auto3.3
Teleop7.3
End0.8
Level
5928
#26
11.43.9
14.710.9
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned