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Red82
973822.5
466116.7
563539.4
Blue35
157737.9
822329.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64800501001502008235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+31Teleop
+35Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +35
11Coral scored#3
41Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
55Total teleop20
Reef
6L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#6
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
12Foul points0
82Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.41.4
28.529.9
Auto6.9
Teleop27.1
End5.4
red by 1.5
37.93.8
35.832.0
Auto7.3
Teleop28.6
End2.0
Second
9738
#17
22.51.4
16.618.0
Auto1.7
Teleop19.3
End1.6
blue by 7.0
29.53.8
15.211.4
Auto6.8
Teleop18.3
End4.5
Third
16.71.4
12.013.4
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End2.2
red by 7.0
9.73.8
17.914.2
Auto2.4
Teleop8.4
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed