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Red20
93036.7
431915.5
717716.9
Blue180
433824.7
209641.7
169072.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3113005010015020025020180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+38
Teleop+142
Endgame+154
Fouls+160
AutonomousBlue +38
6Leave3
0Coral scored#8
0Coral points41
6Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +104
2Coral scored#21
8Coral points74
0Processor algae#3
1Net algae#6
0Processor points18
4Net points24
4Algae points42
12Total teleop116
Reef
1L4#9
1L3#10
0L2#6
0L1 · trough#4
3Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +160
0Foul points6
20Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7177
#25
16.92.1
9.97.7
Auto1.3
Teleop14.7
End0.9
blue by 56.0
72.86.9
57.164.0
Auto21.2
Teleop46.1
End5.5
Second
4319
#21
15.52.1
16.013.9
Auto4.5
Teleop9.4
End1.6
blue by 26.2
2096
#13
41.76.9
30.537.3
Auto7.8
Teleop32.0
End1.9
Third
9303
#29
6.72.1
10.48.3
Auto2.5
Teleop4.2
End-0.0
blue by 18.0
4338
#14
24.76.9
18.725.6
Auto4.2
Teleop19.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsEarned