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Red143
930412.0
610420.1
263050.5
Blue142
306538.2
706717.8
561465.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71102050150200250143142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+15Teleop
+13Endgame
+1Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points21
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +15
19Coral scored#13
67Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
81Total teleop66
Reef
6L4#9
9L3#3
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
18Foul points30
143Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.56.2
35.842.0
Auto15.6
Teleop27.6
End7.3
blue by 14.9
65.42.2
37.239.4
Auto16.8
Teleop38.6
End9.9
Second
6104
#27
20.16.2
14.720.8
Auto2.3
Teleop16.3
End1.5
blue by 18.1
3065
#16
38.22.2
29.731.9
Auto6.0
Teleop31.1
End1.1
Third
9304
#19
12.06.2
13.920.0
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End0.9
blue by 5.9
7067
#22
17.82.2
19.721.9
Auto5.4
Teleop11.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned