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Red60
930412.0
209641.7
Blue96
561465.4
973822.5
431915.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions777540601001201406096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+22
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +15
8Coral scored#10
28Coral points37
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
42Total teleop57
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#5
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points0
60Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2096
#13
41.71.6
37.335.7
Auto7.8
Teleop32.0
End1.9
blue by 23.7
65.42.8
39.442.1
Auto16.8
Teleop38.6
End9.9
Second
9304
#19
12.01.6
20.018.4
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End0.9
blue by 10.6
9738
#17
22.52.8
18.020.8
Auto1.7
Teleop19.3
End1.6
Third
9.71.6
14.212.5
Auto2.4
Teleop8.4
End-1.0
blue by 5.8
4319
#21
15.52.8
13.916.6
Auto4.5
Teleop9.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsEarned