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Red66
717716.9
817529.0
565421.1
Blue70
433824.7
563539.4
623013.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627002040801001201401606670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+10Teleop
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +16
9Coral scored#9
34Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
58Total teleop42
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
66Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8175
#15
29.00.9
25.526.4
Auto4.0
Teleop22.5
End2.5
blue by 10.4
39.41.1
29.931.0
Auto6.9
Teleop27.1
End5.4
Second
5654
#18
21.10.9
24.625.5
Auto3.2
Teleop15.2
End2.8
blue by 3.6
4338
#14
24.71.1
25.626.6
Auto4.2
Teleop19.1
End1.3
Third
7177
#25
16.90.9
7.78.6
Auto1.3
Teleop14.7
End0.9
red by 3.1
6230
#20
13.81.1
4.85.9
Auto4.5
Teleop6.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned