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Red44
169072.8
93036.7
592811.4
Blue98
466116.7
673825.6
595155.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions878560801001201404498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+48
Endgame+60
Fouls+54
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave0
7Coral scored#5
34Coral points23
34Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +59
0Coral scored#14
0Coral points49
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
0Total teleop59
Reef
3L4#8
2L3#3
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
6Foul points0
44Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.84.5
64.059.5
Auto21.2
Teleop46.1
End5.5
red by 17.8
55.02.2
39.741.9
Auto14.1
Teleop30.6
End10.3
Second
5928
#26
11.44.5
7.53.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End1.5
blue by 14.3
6738
#12
25.62.2
23.125.2
Auto5.5
Teleop19.2
End0.9
Third
9303
#29
6.74.5
6.72.2
Auto2.5
Teleop4.2
End-0.0
blue by 10.0
16.72.2
15.717.9
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned