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Red115
157737.9
561465.4
610420.1
Blue70
441618.2
433824.7
565421.1
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1056405015020011570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+39Teleop
+51Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave6
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +22
17Coral scored#8
62Coral points30
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
76Total teleop54
Reef
6L4#4
9L3#1
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points6
115Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.42.6
42.144.7
Auto16.8
Teleop38.6
End9.9
red by 40.7
4338
#14
24.70.1
26.626.7
Auto4.2
Teleop19.1
End1.3
Second
37.92.6
28.731.3
Auto7.3
Teleop28.6
End2.0
red by 16.8
5654
#18
21.10.1
25.525.6
Auto3.2
Teleop15.2
End2.8
Third
6104
#27
20.12.6
20.823.4
Auto2.3
Teleop16.3
End1.5
red by 1.9
4416
#10
18.20.1
11.211.3
Auto3.7
Teleop10.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsMissed