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Red106
822329.5
717716.9
306538.2
Blue45
93036.7
930412.0
383511.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7037020608010012014016010645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+59Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +56
16Coral scored#7
57Coral points25
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
18Processor points6
16Net points4
34Algae points10
91Total teleop35
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#1
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points0
106Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3065
#16
38.24.0
32.336.3
Auto6.0
Teleop31.1
End1.1
red by 26.3
9304
#19
12.00.0
16.316.4
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End0.9
Second
29.54.0
11.615.6
Auto6.8
Teleop18.3
End4.5
red by 18.1
3835
#23
11.40.0
15.815.8
Auto3.3
Teleop7.3
End0.8
Third
7177
#25
16.94.0
14.418.4
Auto1.3
Teleop14.7
End0.9
red by 10.2
9303
#29
6.70.0
2.22.2
Auto2.5
Teleop4.2
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed