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Red10
592811.4
623013.8
Blue78
706717.8
263050.5
466116.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8101501502002501078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+19
Teleop+68
Endgame+68
Fouls+68
AutonomousBlue +19
0Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
0Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +49
2Coral scored#13
6Coral points45
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
6Total teleop55
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#6
0L2#4
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +68
0Foul points0
10Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6230
#20
13.81.1
5.84.7
Auto4.5
Teleop6.7
End2.5
blue by 36.7
50.51.1
47.846.8
Auto15.6
Teleop27.6
End7.3
Second
5928
#26
11.41.1
3.01.9
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End1.5
blue by 6.5
7067
#22
17.81.1
21.820.7
Auto5.4
Teleop11.1
End1.4
Third
9.71.1
11.210.1
Auto2.4
Teleop8.4
End-1.0
blue by 7.0
16.71.1
17.916.8
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
6%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsMissed