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Red164
169072.8
561465.4
822329.5
Blue78
383511.4
623013.8
194243.3
99%Model gave it1%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15143010020025016478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+72Teleop
+86Endgame
+86Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave3
7Coral scored#3
35Coral points17
44Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +48
24Coral scored#9
86Coral points32
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
104Total teleop56
Reef
11L4#5
10L3#4
7L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#17
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +86
0Foul points0
164Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.83.7
63.767.4
Auto21.2
Teleop46.1
End5.5
red by 29.5
43.32.8
30.733.5
Auto10.9
Teleop30.9
End1.6
Second
65.43.7
49.052.7
Auto16.8
Teleop38.6
End9.9
red by 51.6
6230
#20
13.82.8
4.77.5
Auto4.5
Teleop6.7
End2.5
Third
29.53.7
15.619.3
Auto6.8
Teleop18.3
End4.5
red by 18.1
3835
#23
11.42.8
15.818.6
Auto3.3
Teleop7.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
66%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed