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Red27
706717.8
565421.1
930412.0
Blue91
717716.9
157737.9
595155.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions621080501502002502791

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+45
Endgame+55
Fouls+64
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave3
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +31
3Coral scored#7
10Coral points25
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
0Processor points12
4Net points8
4Algae points20
14Total teleop45
Reef
1L4#2
2L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +64
0Foul points9
27Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5654
#18
21.13.7
26.022.2
Auto3.2
Teleop15.2
End2.8
blue by 33.9
55.01.5
46.244.7
Auto14.1
Teleop30.6
End10.3
Second
7067
#22
17.83.7
20.717.0
Auto5.4
Teleop11.1
End1.4
blue by 20.1
37.91.5
31.630.2
Auto7.3
Teleop28.6
End2.0
Third
9304
#19
12.03.7
16.412.6
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End0.9
blue by 4.9
7177
#25
16.91.5
18.416.9
Auto1.3
Teleop14.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned