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Red85
194312.4
673825.6
973822.5
Blue110
306538.2
431915.5
433824.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5691010015020085110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+5Teleop
+5Endgame
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +11
12Coral scored#13
44Coral points45
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
12Processor points12
24Net points12
36Algae points24
80Total teleop69
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#4
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points30
85Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6738
#12
25.62.2
25.227.4
Auto5.5
Teleop19.2
End0.9
blue by 12.6
3065
#16
38.21.3
36.335.0
Auto6.0
Teleop31.1
End1.1
Second
9738
#17
22.52.2
19.521.6
Auto1.7
Teleop19.3
End1.6
blue by 2.2
4338
#14
24.71.4
26.725.3
Auto4.2
Teleop19.1
End1.3
Third
1943
#24
12.42.2
8.911.0
Auto1.8
Teleop10.8
End-0.1
blue by 3.1
4319
#21
15.51.4
14.513.1
Auto4.5
Teleop9.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsMissed