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Red106
592811.4
308325.0
561465.4
Blue73
209641.7
194312.4
717716.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7869020406010012014016010673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+17Teleop
+31Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points16
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +10
15Coral scored#9
55Coral points31
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
65Total teleop55
Reef
6L4#4
6L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#17
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
2Foul points0
106Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.43.0
52.755.8
Auto16.8
Teleop38.6
End9.9
red by 23.7
2096
#13
41.70.7
37.938.6
Auto7.8
Teleop32.0
End1.9
Second
3083
#11
25.03.3
17.921.1
Auto2.9
Teleop20.7
End1.4
red by 8.2
7177
#25
16.90.7
16.917.6
Auto1.3
Teleop14.7
End0.9
Third
5928
#26
11.43.3
1.95.2
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End1.5
blue by 1.1
1943
#24
12.40.7
11.011.8
Auto1.8
Teleop10.8
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed