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Red5
717716.9
973822.5
623013.8
Blue92
93036.7
157737.9
263050.5
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions601100150200250592

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+78
Endgame+90
Fouls+87
AutonomousBlue +27
0Leave9
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points21
3Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +51
0Coral scored#11
0Coral points39
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#3
0Processor points0
0Net points12
0Algae points12
0Total teleop51
Reef
1L4#7
0L3#2
0L2#4
0L1 · trough#2
1Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +87
0Foul points-3
5Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9738
#17
22.55.8
23.617.8
Auto1.7
Teleop19.3
End1.6
blue by 27.9
50.50.3
34.534.8
Auto15.6
Teleop27.6
End7.3
Second
7177
#25DQ
16.95.8
18.512.7
Auto1.3
Teleop14.7
End0.9
blue by 21.0
37.90.3
41.341.6
Auto7.3
Teleop28.6
End2.0
Third
6230
#20
13.85.8
15.29.4
Auto4.5
Teleop6.7
End2.5
red by 7.1
9303
#29
6.70.3
16.416.8
Auto2.5
Teleop4.2
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsEarned