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Red102
595155.0
592811.4
973822.5
Blue99
563539.4
822329.5
706717.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77766065708085909510010299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
+11Teleop
+9Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +5
6Leave0
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points21
16Total auto21
TeleoperatedRed +16
15Coral scored#9
54Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
64Total teleop48
Reef
5L4#5
6L3#2
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
8Foul points14
102Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.02.0
44.746.8
Auto14.1
Teleop30.6
End10.3
red by 15.6
39.41.2
36.537.7
Auto6.9
Teleop27.1
End5.4
Second
9738
#17
22.52.0
22.824.9
Auto1.7
Teleop19.3
End1.6
blue by 7.0
29.51.2
19.320.5
Auto6.8
Teleop18.3
End4.5
Third
5928
#26
11.42.0
5.27.2
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End1.5
blue by 6.5
7067
#22
17.81.2
17.018.2
Auto5.4
Teleop11.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsEarned