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Red82
308325.0
433824.7
Blue68
209641.7
93036.7
610420.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64633040507080901008268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+2Teleop
Endgame+2
+14Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +2
9Coral scored#8
31Coral points29
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
55Total teleop53
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
16Foul points0
82Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3083
#11
25.01.0
21.122.2
Auto2.9
Teleop20.7
End1.4
blue by 16.7
2096
#13
41.70.7
38.639.3
Auto7.8
Teleop32.0
End1.9
Second
4338
#14
24.71.0
25.126.2
Auto4.2
Teleop19.1
End1.3
red by 4.6
6104
#27
20.10.7
20.921.5
Auto2.3
Teleop16.3
End1.5
Third
9.71.0
8.99.9
Auto2.4
Teleop8.4
End-1.0
red by 3.1
9303
#29
6.70.7
0.91.6
Auto2.5
Teleop4.2
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed