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Red99
595155.0
623013.8
822329.5
Blue94
431915.5
194243.3
817529.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions837240601001201409994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+15
+7Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points21
30Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +18
9Coral scored#11
31Coral points39
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
45Total teleop63
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#4
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#20
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points2
99Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.02.0
46.848.8
Auto14.1
Teleop30.6
End10.3
red by 11.7
43.31.9
32.934.8
Auto10.9
Teleop30.9
End1.6
Second
29.52.0
20.522.4
Auto6.8
Teleop18.3
End4.5
red by 0.5
8175
#15
29.01.9
26.728.7
Auto4.0
Teleop22.5
End2.5
Third
6230
#20
13.82.0
9.611.5
Auto4.5
Teleop6.7
End2.5
blue by 1.7
4319
#21
15.51.9
10.712.6
Auto4.5
Teleop9.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed