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Red94
673825.6
209641.7
157737.9
Blue30
592811.4
706717.8
717716.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116360501001502009430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+62Teleop
+62Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
6Leave0
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
15Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +53
16Coral scored#6
59Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
77Total teleop24
Reef
9L4#3
4L3#2
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
0Cage & park0
0Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
2Foul points0
94Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2096
#13
41.70.6
39.338.8
Auto7.8
Teleop32.0
End1.9
red by 23.9
7067
#22
17.81.2
18.217.0
Auto5.4
Teleop11.1
End1.4
Second
37.90.6
32.331.7
Auto7.3
Teleop28.6
End2.0
red by 21.0
7177
#25
16.91.2
17.616.5
Auto1.3
Teleop14.7
End0.9
Third
6738
#12
25.60.6
26.626.0
Auto5.5
Teleop19.2
End0.9
red by 14.3
5928
#26
11.41.2
7.26.1
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
21%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed