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Red65
610420.1
433824.7
973822.5
Blue98
194312.4
595155.0
930412.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88700204060801001201401606598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+3
Endgame+15
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +11
8Coral scored#8
30Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
52Total teleop41
Reef
2L4#4
3L3#2
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points18
65Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4338
#14
24.71.0
28.627.6
Auto4.2
Teleop19.1
End1.3
blue by 30.4
55.01.2
48.849.9
Auto14.1
Teleop30.6
End10.3
Second
9738
#17
22.51.0
26.925.9
Auto1.7
Teleop19.3
End1.6
red by 10.1
1943
#24
12.41.2
7.08.2
Auto1.8
Teleop10.8
End-0.1
Third
6104
#27
20.11.0
21.520.6
Auto2.3
Teleop16.3
End1.5
red by 8.1
9304
#19
12.01.2
9.810.9
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsEarned