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Red94
706717.8
157737.9
431915.5
Blue140
561465.4
194243.3
93036.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6010805015020094140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+38
Endgame+48
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave6
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points26
22Total auto32
TeleoperatedBlue +28
12Coral scored#18
42Coral points66
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
66Total teleop94
Reef
5L4#13
5L3#5
4L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
2Foul points0
94Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.92.5
31.734.2
Auto7.3
Teleop28.6
End2.0
blue by 27.5
65.43.7
58.261.9
Auto16.8
Teleop38.6
End9.9
Second
7067
#22
17.82.5
17.019.5
Auto5.4
Teleop11.1
End1.4
blue by 25.5
43.33.7
34.838.5
Auto10.9
Teleop30.9
End1.6
Third
4319
#21
15.52.5
12.615.1
Auto4.5
Teleop9.4
End1.6
red by 8.8
9303
#29
6.73.7
1.65.3
Auto2.5
Teleop4.2
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned