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Red134
623013.8
306538.2
263050.5
Blue93
563539.4
592811.4
673825.6
84%Model gave it16%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112785010015013493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+35Teleop
+43Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave6
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points12
36Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +17
17Coral scored#12
60Coral points43
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
84Total teleop67
Reef
11L4#4
5L3#5
2L2#4
4L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#19
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points2
134Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.52.7
44.146.8
Auto15.6
Teleop27.6
End7.3
red by 11.0
39.41.0
38.639.6
Auto6.9
Teleop27.1
End5.4
Second
3065
#16
38.22.7
36.639.3
Auto6.0
Teleop31.1
End1.1
red by 12.6
6738
#12
25.61.0
26.027.0
Auto5.5
Teleop19.2
End0.9
Third
6230
#20
13.82.7
11.514.2
Auto4.5
Teleop6.7
End2.5
red by 2.4
5928
#26
11.41.0
6.17.1
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed