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Red97
194243.3
563539.4
209641.7
Blue26
610420.1
383511.4
706717.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93820501509726

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+69Teleop
+71Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave6
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
20Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +55
13Coral scored#3
45Coral points12
3Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
18Processor points0
8Net points4
26Algae points4
71Total teleop16
Reef
7L4#1
5L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
21Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
0Foul points0
97Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.31.2
24.125.3
Auto10.9
Teleop30.9
End1.6
red by 23.3
6104
#27
20.15.6
19.914.3
Auto2.3
Teleop16.3
End1.5
Second
2096
#13
41.71.2
26.127.3
Auto7.8
Teleop32.0
End1.9
red by 23.9
7067
#22
17.85.6
24.218.6
Auto5.4
Teleop11.1
End1.4
Third
39.41.2
30.031.2
Auto6.9
Teleop27.1
End5.4
red by 28.0
3835
#23
11.45.6
27.021.4
Auto3.3
Teleop7.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsMissed