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Red223
592811.4
169072.8
561465.4
Blue51
433824.7
308325.0
306538.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1661045015020025022351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+49Auto
+146Teleop
+170Endgame
+172Fouls
AutonomousRed +49
6Leave3
11Coral scored#2
55Coral points9
61Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +97
22Coral scored#7
80Coral points25
5Processor algae#0
6Net algae#3
30Processor points0
24Net points12
54Algae points12
134Total teleop37
Reef
15L4#4
10L3#2
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
44Game pieces#12
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +172
2Foul points0
223Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.81.7
68.870.5
Auto21.2
Teleop46.1
End5.5
red by 34.6
3065
#16
38.21.1
39.638.5
Auto6.0
Teleop31.1
End1.1
Second
65.41.7
61.363.0
Auto16.8
Teleop38.6
End9.9
red by 40.3
3083
#11
25.01.1
26.425.3
Auto2.9
Teleop20.7
End1.4
Third
5928
#26
11.41.7
7.39.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End1.5
blue by 13.3
4338
#14
24.71.1
26.024.9
Auto4.2
Teleop19.1
End1.3