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Red140
194243.3
610420.1
157737.9
Blue40
565421.1
383511.4
466116.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11152010015020014040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+74Teleop
+74Endgame
+100Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
3Leave3
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points9
27Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +59
14Coral scored#6
51Coral points20
2Processor algae#0
5Net algae#1
12Processor points0
20Net points4
32Algae points4
83Total teleop24
Reef
8L4#4
5L3#2
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +100
26Foul points0
140Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.30.4
41.842.2
Auto10.9
Teleop30.9
End1.6
red by 22.2
5654
#18
21.10.3
22.221.9
Auto3.2
Teleop15.2
End2.8
Second
37.90.4
36.336.7
Auto7.3
Teleop28.6
End2.0
red by 21.2
16.70.3
17.817.5
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End2.2
Third
6104
#27
20.10.4
18.518.9
Auto2.3
Teleop16.3
End1.5
red by 8.7
3835
#23
11.40.3
12.512.2
Auto3.3
Teleop7.3
End0.8