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Red87
433824.7
308325.0
306538.2
Blue107
822329.5
930412.0
817529.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1107705010015020087107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+20
Endgame+26
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +13
13Coral scored#17
48Coral points61
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
72Total teleop85
Reef
6L4#9
3L3#6
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +20
6Foul points0
87Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3065
#16
38.20.2
38.538.2
Auto6.0
Teleop31.1
End1.1
red by 8.7
29.50.8
28.429.2
Auto6.8
Teleop18.3
End4.5
Second
3083
#11
25.00.2
25.325.0
Auto2.9
Teleop20.7
End1.4
blue by 4.0
8175
#15
29.00.8
27.828.7
Auto4.0
Teleop22.5
End2.5
Third
4338
#14
24.70.2
24.924.7
Auto4.2
Teleop19.1
End1.3
red by 12.7
9304
#19
12.00.8
10.811.7
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End0.9