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Red106
563539.4
209641.7
706717.8
Blue39
565421.1
383511.4
466116.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11449010015020010639

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
+67Teleop
+71Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
6Leave9
3Coral scored#0
15Coral points0
21Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +55
14Coral scored#5
51Coral points18
3Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
18Processor points0
12Net points8
30Algae points8
81Total teleop26
Reef
6L4#2
4L3#1
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#7
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +67
0Foul points4
106Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2096
#13
41.70.2
41.341.4
Auto7.8
Teleop32.0
End1.9
red by 20.6
5654
#18
21.10.3
21.521.1
Auto3.2
Teleop15.2
End2.8
Second
39.40.2
39.039.2
Auto6.9
Teleop27.1
End5.4
red by 22.7
16.70.3
17.116.7
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End2.2
Third
7067
#22
17.80.2
17.417.6
Auto5.4
Teleop11.1
End1.4
red by 6.4
3835
#23
11.40.3
11.711.4
Auto3.3
Teleop7.3
End0.8