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Red132
194243.3
610420.1
157737.9
Blue83
822329.5
930412.0
817529.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1076905015020013283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+43Teleop
+31Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave3
4Coral scored#2
18Coral points10
27Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +29
14Coral scored#9
51Coral points34
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
18Processor points6
16Net points16
34Algae points22
85Total teleop56
Reef
8L4#4
3L3#3
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +49
18Foul points0
132Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.30.3
42.542.8
Auto10.9
Teleop30.9
End1.6
red by 13.8
29.50.3
29.229.5
Auto6.8
Teleop18.3
End4.5
Second
37.90.3
37.037.4
Auto7.3
Teleop28.6
End2.0
red by 8.9
8175
#15
29.00.3
28.729.0
Auto4.0
Teleop22.5
End2.5
Third
6104
#27
20.10.3
19.219.5
Auto2.3
Teleop16.3
End1.5
red by 8.1
9304
#19
12.00.3
11.712.0
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End0.9