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Red154
592811.4
169072.8
561465.4
Blue153
263050.5
623013.8
595155.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15611450100200250154153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+9Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave9
12Coral scored#7
58Coral points35
61Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +8
15Coral scored#18
55Coral points65
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
77Total teleop85
Reef
8L4#10
8L3#8
7L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
154Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.80.3
70.170.3
Auto21.2
Teleop46.1
End5.5
red by 17.8
55.00.9
52.753.6
Auto14.1
Teleop30.6
End10.3
Second
65.40.3
62.662.9
Auto16.8
Teleop38.6
End9.9
red by 14.9
50.50.9
48.149.0
Auto15.6
Teleop27.6
End7.3
Third
5928
#26
11.40.3
8.68.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End1.5
blue by 2.4
6230
#20
13.80.9
12.213.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.7
End2.5