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Red114
194243.3
610420.1
157737.9
Blue113
563539.4
209641.7
706717.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1051049095100110115120125114113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+9Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
3Leave0
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points22
27Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +4
19Coral scored#11
69Coral points39
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#7
6Processor points12
8Net points28
14Algae points40
83Total teleop79
Reef
9L4#5
5L3#4
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
114Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.30.3
42.843.1
Auto10.9
Teleop30.9
End1.6
red by 1.6
2096
#13
41.70.3
41.441.7
Auto7.8
Teleop32.0
End1.9
Second
37.90.3
37.437.7
Auto7.3
Teleop28.6
End2.0
blue by 1.5
39.40.3
39.239.4
Auto6.9
Teleop27.1
End5.4
Third
6104
#27
20.10.3
19.519.9
Auto2.3
Teleop16.3
End1.5
red by 2.3
7067
#22
17.80.3
17.617.8
Auto5.4
Teleop11.1
End1.4