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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds
Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+11
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
6Coral scored#9
31Coral points45
37Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +3
23Coral scored#23
81Coral points84
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
18Processor points12
8Net points8
26Algae points20
107Total teleop104
Reef
11L4#13
9L3#11
6L2#6
3L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
148Total score161
Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
blue by 8.9
Second
blue by 6.8
