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Red136
599060.8
193732.0
333950.2
Blue142
157628.3
223157.0
561469.7
41%Model gave it59%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146167050100200250300350400136142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+6Teleop
Endgame+4
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
6Coral scored#7
28Coral points33
37Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +2
15Coral scored#16
55Coral points59
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
12Processor points6
20Net points20
32Algae points26
87Total teleop85
Reef
9L4#10
5L3#8
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +6
6Foul points8
136Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.80.3
61.260.8
Auto17.7
Teleop39.9
End3.2
blue by 8.9
69.70.5
70.269.7
Auto21.2
Teleop39.6
End9.0
Second
50.20.3
50.650.2
Auto14.7
Teleop34.4
End1.1
blue by 6.8
57.00.5
57.557.0
Auto16.7
Teleop33.6
End6.7
Third
1937
#24
32.00.3
32.332.0
Auto4.1
Teleop25.5
End2.5
red by 3.7
1576
#14
28.30.6
28.828.3
Auto4.2
Teleop22.2
End1.9