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Red123
459037.3
321131.5
561469.7
Blue88
158013.1
674030.4
333950.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1388405010020025012388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+35Teleop
+33Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave6
7Coral scored#1
34Coral points7
37Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +11
18Coral scored#14
66Coral points49
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
84Total teleop73
Reef
6L4#6
8L3#4
7L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
2Foul points0
123Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.70.3
65.465.1
Auto21.2
Teleop39.6
End9.0
red by 19.5
50.20.2
38.037.9
Auto14.7
Teleop34.4
End1.1
Second
37.30.5
24.524.0
Auto11.7
Teleop23.9
End1.7
red by 6.9
6740
#21
30.40.2
24.424.3
Auto4.7
Teleop23.7
End2.0
Third
3211
#10
31.50.5
27.426.9
Auto4.8
Teleop25.5
End1.3
red by 18.5
1580
#32
13.10.2
17.917.8
Auto5.2
Teleop6.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
36%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed