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Red143
513515.7
555424.9
267920.1
Blue92
973918.8
703937.5
598742.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions759405015020025014392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+17
Endgame+27
+51Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +6
8Coral scored#11
28Coral points38
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
52Total teleop58
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#4
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
78Foul points0
143Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5554
#25
24.90.9
25.324.4
Auto6.4
Teleop18.0
End0.5
blue by 17.6
5987
#12
42.50.6
29.430.0
Auto6.9
Teleop31.5
End4.1
Second
2679
#26
20.10.9
19.518.6
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End1.2
blue by 17.4
7039
#17
37.50.6
29.730.3
Auto8.6
Teleop24.5
End4.4
Third
5135
#30
15.70.9
23.022.1
Auto0.6
Teleop12.4
End2.6
blue by 3.2
9739
#20
18.80.6
21.822.3
Auto4.8
Teleop13.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsEarned