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Red77
616818.4
221213.0
223157.0
Blue62
784524.5
474431.3
195417.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92740501507762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+19Teleop
+23Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +23
9Coral scored#5
33Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
51Total teleop28
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#9
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
8Foul points16
77Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.01.4
35.133.8
Auto16.7
Teleop33.6
End6.7
red by 25.7
31.32.6
25.022.5
Auto5.8
Teleop23.2
End2.4
Second
6168
#28
18.41.4
26.625.3
Auto5.0
Teleop13.0
End0.4
blue by 6.1
7845
#18
24.52.6
23.320.7
Auto4.7
Teleop15.2
End4.5
Third
2212
#13
13.01.4
19.518.1
Auto4.2
Teleop6.3
End2.5
blue by 4.6
1954
#31
17.62.6
20.918.3
Auto6.0
Teleop10.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned