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Red53
973918.8
165726.7
571526.0
Blue133
598742.5
157628.3
333950.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8210105015020053133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+62
Endgame+62
Fouls+80
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +51
7Coral scored#15
24Coral points55
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#3
6Processor points18
4Net points12
10Algae points30
34Total teleop85
Reef
3L4#8
2L3#3
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +80
6Foul points24
53Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1657
#15
26.72.9
29.526.6
Auto6.0
Teleop17.5
End3.2
blue by 23.5
50.22.5
39.041.5
Auto14.7
Teleop34.4
End1.1
Second
5715
#27
26.02.9
25.722.8
Auto4.0
Teleop20.7
End1.3
blue by 16.5
5987
#12
42.52.5
29.932.4
Auto6.9
Teleop31.5
End4.1
Third
9739
#20
18.82.9
17.714.8
Auto4.8
Teleop13.4
End0.6
blue by 9.4
1576
#14
28.32.5
17.720.2
Auto4.2
Teleop22.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsEarned