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Red108
674030.4
338823.7
307536.7
Blue83
555424.9
711224.9
321131.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8382709010010883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+19Teleop
+17Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
4Coral scored#3
22Coral points13
22Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +13
12Coral scored#13
44Coral points45
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
68Total teleop55
Reef
7L4#7
3L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
14Foul points6
108Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3075
#11
36.71.8
30.932.7
Auto3.9
Teleop28.3
End4.4
red by 5.2
3211
#10
31.50.2
25.625.8
Auto4.8
Teleop25.5
End1.3
Second
6740
#21
30.41.8
24.226.0
Auto4.7
Teleop23.7
End2.0
red by 5.5
7112
#22
24.90.2
20.420.6
Auto6.2
Teleop15.2
End3.5
Third
23.71.8
17.018.8
Auto6.1
Teleop15.2
End2.3
blue by 1.2
5554
#25
24.90.2
23.824.0
Auto6.4
Teleop18.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed