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Red11
193732.0
1013917.0
974018.5
Blue108
599060.8
459037.3
458620.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5186010015020011108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+77
Endgame+79
Fouls+97
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
3Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +64
2Coral scored#13
6Coral points48
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#4
0Processor points6
0Net points16
0Algae points22
6Total teleop70
Reef
1L4#7
1L3#5
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +97
0Foul points18
11Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1937
#24
32.04.2
19.315.1
Auto4.1
Teleop25.5
End2.5
blue by 28.8
60.81.4
29.631.1
Auto17.7
Teleop39.9
End3.2
Second
9740
#29
18.54.2
14.09.8
Auto3.3
Teleop14.0
End1.2
blue by 18.8
37.31.4
24.025.4
Auto11.7
Teleop23.9
End1.7
Third
17.04.2
15.311.1
Auto5.6
Teleop8.5
End2.9
blue by 3.8
4586
#33
20.81.4
17.519.0
Auto2.7
Teleop17.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed