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Red53
513515.7
571526.0
221213.0
Blue177
561469.7
703937.5
223049.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52152010020025053177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+42
Teleop+104
Endgame+112
Fouls+124
AutonomousBlue +42
6Leave0
1Coral scored#10
3Coral points51
9Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +62
7Coral scored#17
26Coral points60
0Processor algae#4
3Net algae#4
0Processor points24
12Net points16
12Algae points40
38Total teleop100
Reef
3L4#10
2L3#8
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
11Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +124
0Foul points12
53Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5715
#27
26.00.6
22.822.2
Auto4.0
Teleop20.7
End1.3
blue by 43.7
69.72.4
66.669.0
Auto21.2
Teleop39.6
End9.0
Second
5135
#30
15.70.6
17.516.9
Auto0.6
Teleop12.4
End2.6
blue by 34.2
49.94.0
33.037.0
Auto13.0
Teleop31.6
End5.3
Third
2212
#13
13.00.6
18.117.5
Auto4.2
Teleop6.3
End2.5
blue by 24.5
7039
#17
37.54.0
29.133.1
Auto8.6
Teleop24.5
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed35%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsEarned