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Red104
321131.5
973918.8
432029.0
Blue87
616818.4
555424.9
474431.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions648205010015010487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+19
Endgame+15
+17Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points16
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +19
10Coral scored#14
36Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
46Total teleop65
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#5
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#20
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
36Foul points4
104Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3211
#10
31.50.9
25.826.7
Auto4.8
Teleop25.5
End1.3
red by 0.2
31.31.3
22.523.7
Auto5.8
Teleop23.2
End2.4
Second
4320
#16
29.00.9
19.520.3
Auto4.7
Teleop21.4
End2.9
red by 4.2
5554
#25
24.91.3
24.025.3
Auto6.4
Teleop18.0
End0.5
Third
9739
#20
18.80.9
14.815.7
Auto4.8
Teleop13.4
End0.6
red by 0.5
6168
#28
18.41.3
25.326.5
Auto5.0
Teleop13.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed