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Red131
338823.7
333950.2
193732.0
Blue92
157445.5
784524.5
513515.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85805060709010011012013013192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+53Teleop
+41Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave6
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points13
33Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +39
16Coral scored#11
56Coral points39
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
12Processor points6
24Net points8
36Algae points14
92Total teleop53
Reef
8L4#3
6L3#4
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
2Foul points4
131Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.24.7
41.546.2
Auto14.7
Teleop34.4
End1.1
red by 4.7
45.50.6
33.634.3
Auto15.1
Teleop26.0
End4.4
Second
1937
#24
32.04.7
15.119.8
Auto4.1
Teleop25.5
End2.5
red by 7.5
7845
#18
24.50.6
20.721.3
Auto4.7
Teleop15.2
End4.5
Third
23.74.7
18.823.5
Auto6.1
Teleop15.2
End2.3
red by 8.0
5135
#30
15.70.6
16.917.5
Auto0.6
Teleop12.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned