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Red80
157628.3
555424.9
784524.5
Blue45
1013917.0
158013.1
459037.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7455020401001201408045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+33Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points17
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +37
12Coral scored#5
42Coral points19
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
12Processor points6
8Net points0
20Algae points6
62Total teleop25
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
80Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1576
#14
28.31.6
19.220.8
Auto4.2
Teleop22.2
End1.9
blue by 9.1
37.30.8
31.430.6
Auto11.7
Teleop23.9
End1.7
Second
5554
#25
24.91.6
25.326.8
Auto6.4
Teleop18.0
End0.5
red by 7.9
17.00.8
7.66.8
Auto5.6
Teleop8.5
End2.9
Third
7845
#18
24.51.6
21.322.9
Auto4.7
Teleop15.2
End4.5
red by 11.4
1580
#32
13.10.8
13.112.3
Auto5.2
Teleop6.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed