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Red112
223157.0
193732.0
711224.9
Blue118
703937.5
221213.0
599060.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92886080100120140112118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+16
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave3
4Coral scored#8
18Coral points41
27Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +1
9Coral scored#11
33Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
61Total teleop60
Reef
6L4#9
3L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
112Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.03.1
39.842.9
Auto16.7
Teleop33.6
End6.7
blue by 3.8
60.84.0
31.535.5
Auto17.7
Teleop39.9
End3.2
Second
1937
#24
32.03.1
19.823.0
Auto4.1
Teleop25.5
End2.5
blue by 5.5
7039
#17
37.54.0
33.137.1
Auto8.6
Teleop24.5
End4.4
Third
7112
#22
24.93.1
24.427.5
Auto6.2
Teleop15.2
End3.5
red by 11.9
2212
#13
13.04.0
17.521.5
Auto4.2
Teleop6.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsEarned