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Red110
974018.5
561469.7
165726.7
Blue128
157445.5
223049.9
321131.5
68%Model gave it32%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12310450150200110128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+16
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
4Coral scored#4
18Coral points21
27Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +13
15Coral scored#15
55Coral points54
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
69Total teleop82
Reef
9L4#7
5L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
110Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.70.1
69.369.2
Auto21.2
Teleop39.6
End9.0
red by 19.8
49.93.3
36.139.4
Auto13.0
Teleop31.6
End5.3
Second
1657
#15
26.70.1
27.026.9
Auto6.0
Teleop17.5
End3.2
blue by 18.8
45.53.3
34.337.6
Auto15.1
Teleop26.0
End4.4
Third
9740
#29
18.50.1
14.914.7
Auto3.3
Teleop14.0
End1.2
blue by 13.0
3211
#10
31.53.3
27.931.2
Auto4.8
Teleop25.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
51%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsEarned