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Red3
158013.1
458620.8
195417.6
Blue18
555424.9
973918.8
338823.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions467702060100120140160318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+13
Endgame+13
Fouls+15
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
3Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +13
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
0Total teleop13
Reef
1L4#1
0L3#1
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
1Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
0Cage & park0
0Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points2
3Total score18

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4586
#33
20.84.8
18.013.2
Auto2.7
Teleop17.5
End0.6
blue by 4.1
5554
#25
24.95.6
26.821.3
Auto6.4
Teleop18.0
End0.5
Second
1954
#31
17.64.8
15.911.1
Auto6.0
Teleop10.7
End0.9
blue by 6.1
23.75.6
22.516.9
Auto6.1
Teleop15.2
End2.3
Third
1580
#32
13.14.8
12.37.5
Auto5.2
Teleop6.0
End1.9
blue by 5.8
9739
#20
18.85.6
16.911.3
Auto4.8
Teleop13.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed