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Red114
307536.7
1013917.0
333950.2
Blue90
193732.0
571526.0
703937.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10091608012014011490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+18Teleop
+30Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points7
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +14
15Coral scored#12
54Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
78Total teleop64
Reef
4L4#4
7L3#5
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points6
114Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.22.9
47.550.4
Auto14.7
Teleop34.4
End1.1
red by 12.8
7039
#17
37.50.1
37.137.2
Auto8.6
Teleop24.5
End4.4
Second
3075
#11
36.72.9
34.036.8
Auto3.9
Teleop28.3
End4.4
red by 4.7
1937
#24
32.00.1
23.023.0
Auto4.1
Teleop25.5
End2.5
Third
17.02.9
6.89.7
Auto5.6
Teleop8.5
End2.9
blue by 9.0
5715
#27
26.00.1
23.423.5
Auto4.0
Teleop20.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed