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Red138
223049.9
784524.5
598742.5
Blue46
674030.4
267920.1
221213.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1026905015013846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+80Teleop
+92Endgame
+92Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +66
21Coral scored#6
75Coral points23
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
99Total teleop33
Reef
7L4#2
9L3#2
6L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#9
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +92
2Foul points2
138Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.94.8
39.444.2
Auto13.0
Teleop31.6
End5.3
red by 19.5
6740
#21
30.42.8
31.128.3
Auto4.7
Teleop23.7
End2.0
Second
5987
#12
42.54.8
30.535.3
Auto6.9
Teleop31.5
End4.1
red by 22.4
2679
#26
20.12.8
16.313.5
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End1.2
Third
7845
#18
24.54.8
22.927.7
Auto4.7
Teleop15.2
End4.5
red by 11.5
2212
#13
13.02.8
21.518.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed