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Red59
974018.5
571526.0
331623.6
Blue69
1013917.0
193732.0
165726.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626302040801001205969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+12
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +2
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points4
9Total auto7
TeleoperatedBlue +10
7Coral scored#11
26Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
40Total teleop50
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
10Foul points8
59Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5715
#27
26.01.2
23.522.3
Auto4.0
Teleop20.7
End1.3
blue by 6.0
1937
#24
32.00.2
23.023.2
Auto4.1
Teleop25.5
End2.5
Second
3316
#23
23.61.2
21.120.0
Auto5.4
Teleop16.6
End1.7
blue by 3.1
1657
#15
26.70.2
26.927.1
Auto6.0
Teleop17.5
End3.2
Third
9740
#29
18.51.2
14.713.6
Auto3.3
Teleop14.0
End1.2
red by 1.5
17.00.2
9.79.8
Auto5.6
Teleop8.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed