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Red64
458620.8
432029.0
616818.4
Blue103
711224.9
307536.7
157445.5
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55118010015020064103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+35
Endgame+41
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave0
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points30
13Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +18
8Coral scored#13
29Coral points45
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
49Total teleop67
Reef
5L4#7
2L3#4
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
2Foul points0
64Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4320
#16
29.00.0
20.120.1
Auto4.7
Teleop21.4
End2.9
blue by 16.5
45.50.6
37.036.4
Auto15.1
Teleop26.0
End4.4
Second
4586
#33
20.80.0
13.213.3
Auto2.7
Teleop17.5
End0.6
blue by 16.0
3075
#11
36.70.6
36.836.3
Auto3.9
Teleop28.3
End4.4
Third
6168
#28
18.40.0
25.325.4
Auto5.0
Teleop13.0
End0.4
blue by 6.5
7112
#22
24.90.6
28.427.8
Auto6.2
Teleop15.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed84%Barge oddsMissed