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Red110
555424.9
333950.2
223157.0
Blue136
267920.1
599060.8
223049.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1279450150200110136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+12
Endgame+24
Fouls+26
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
6Coral scored#4
31Coral points21
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +19
13Coral scored#17
45Coral points62
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
12Processor points6
12Net points20
24Algae points26
69Total teleop88
Reef
8L4#7
5L3#7
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points2
110Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.00.5
42.942.4
Auto16.7
Teleop33.6
End6.7
blue by 3.8
60.84.7
34.138.8
Auto17.7
Teleop39.9
End3.2
Second
50.20.5
50.449.9
Auto14.7
Teleop34.4
End1.1
red by 0.3
49.94.7
44.248.9
Auto13.0
Teleop31.6
End5.3
Third
5554
#25
24.90.5
21.320.8
Auto6.4
Teleop18.0
End0.5
red by 4.8
2679
#26
20.14.7
13.518.2
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned